Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 2
INS
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AUN
0 - 2
INS
36%
23%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
INS
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
ARC
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
INS
0 - 0
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 3
ARC
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 2
HAR
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LOU
0 - 7
KNO
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ARC
4 - 0
LOU
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LOU
0 - 2
DER
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -3 |