Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
4 - 1
INS
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
WAR
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CLI
4 - 0
INS
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
PSN
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 0
LOU
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LOU
6 - 2
TRF
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 4
LAR
41%
24%
36%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 1
CAR
25%
22%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |