Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
INS
2 - 2
ARD
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
INS
2 - 0
HAR
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WAR
2 - 1
INS
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TOB
2 - 6
INS
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAR
42%
23%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LOU
4 - 2
HAR
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LOU
3 - 1
COA
42%
23%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
LOU
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 0
LAR
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |