Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DER
1 - 0
INS
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 3
INS
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
INS
3 - 4
BAN
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
INS
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 3
INS
57%
23%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 1
LAR
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 1
DER
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ARD
2 - 3
LOU
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 1
LAR
56%
22%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 1
LOU
59%
21%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |