Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LAR
0 - 3
INS
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
INS
0 - 2
HAR
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DER
4 - 1
INS
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GLE
3 - 0
INS
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
ARD
1 - 2
LOU
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 0
BMF
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 5
BAN
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 2
HAR
51%
23%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 3
LOU
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |