Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
CLI
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 4
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
INS
0 - 1
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
INS
0 - 1
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
DUN
3 - 0
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
LOU
1 - 5
COL
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
CLI
1 - 3
LOU
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
LOU
1 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2005 |
LAR
3 - 0
LOU
47%
23%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
LOU
1 - 1
LAR
53%
22%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |