Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 1
INS
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
5 - 1
INS
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
INS
3 - 1
HAR
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
KNO
2 - 2
INS
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
INS
2 - 2
BAN
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 0
LIS
27%
23%
51%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 0
BAL
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
DER
3 - 3
LIS
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
LIM
1 - 0
LIS
29%
23%
49%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
COA
4 - 4
LIS
33%
23%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |