Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 1
INS
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
INS
1 - 3
NEW
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
INS
1 - 1
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LIS
2 - 3
GLE
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 4
GLE
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
ZES
6 - 0
LIS
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 5
ZES
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
COL
1 - 0
LIS
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |