Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 1
INS
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
LIN
16%
22%
61%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
INS
1 - 3
LOU
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
COL
2 - 1
INS
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
INS
1 - 0
BAN
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
LIS
0 - 1
DUN
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 3
LIS
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
LIS
0 - 0
BAN
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CLI
0 - 0
LIS
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 4
LIS
31%
24%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |