Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 1
INS
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ARC
1 - 1
INS
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
POR
21%
25%
55%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 0
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 2
LIS
20%
23%
58%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LIS
0 - 1
DON
66%
22%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
LIM
1 - 2
LIS
19%
23%
59%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 1
DUN
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIS
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |