Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 0
INS
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
INS
4 - 0
ARC
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
INS
1 - 1
LIM
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
INS
2 - 3
CLI
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
LIS
1 - 2
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
GLE
0 - 0
LIS
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
LIS
2 - 3
LOU
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
CLI
2 - 1
LIS
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
LIS
4 - 1
INS
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |