Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LIM
3 - 3
INS
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CLI
2 - 0
INS
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
INS
0 - 1
COL
39%
25%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
GLE
0 - 0
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
INS
0 - 0
NEW
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LIS
0 - 0
CLI
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
LIN
1 - 3
LIS
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
LIS
2 - 1
BAL
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ARD
0 - 1
LIS
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
LIS
1 - 2
LIM
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |