Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
GLE
0 - 2
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
INS
0 - 1
ARD
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
INS
0 - 4
LIM
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
BAL
2 - 1
INS
42%
24%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
INS
4 - 1
LAR
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
LIS
1 - 1
GLE
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
COL
0 - 0
LIS
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2004 |
LIS
1 - 0
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 0
LIS
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
LIS
2 - 0
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |