Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
INS
0 - 0
GLE
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
LIN
2 - 3
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
OMA
3 - 2
INS
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
INS
1 - 5
GLE
30%
27%
44%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
LIS
1 - 2
OMA
34%
26%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIS
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
LIS
1 - 1
COL
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
LIS
2 - 4
POR
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
LIS
0 - 3
CLI
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |