Institute vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
62.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
INS
1 - 2
COL
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
LIN
5 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 1
INS
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 2
INS
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 2
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 1
WAR
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
LIN
5 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIN
15%
23%
62%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ARD
2 - 1
LIN
16%
23%
62%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |