Institute vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
INS
77%
15%
7%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
INS
2 - 3
LIS
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 2
GLE
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
CLI
1 - 1
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
LIN
4 - 1
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GLE
1 - 3
LIN
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |