Institute vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
INS
1 - 3
LOU
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
COL
2 - 1
INS
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
INS
1 - 0
BAN
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
LOU
0 - 0
INS
38%
24%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIN
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
LIN
3 - 1
DUN
67%
20%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2008 |
CLI
0 - 4
LIN
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
LIN
0 - 3
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |