Institute vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 0
INS
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 1
INS
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LAR
2 - 4
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
INS
2 - 2
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
INS
65%
19%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LIN
1 - 0
CRU
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
LIM
0 - 2
LIN
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 0
LIS
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
BAL
0 - 0
LIN
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
LIN
2 - 2
ARD
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |