Institute vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
INS
0 - 0
OMA
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
GLE
4 - 1
INS
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 3
INS
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
INS
3 - 1
BAN
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
LIS
0 - 1
INS
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
STB
4 - 0
LIN
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
OMA
1 - 1
LIN
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
LIN
3 - 2
OMA
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIN
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |