Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
INS
0 - 6
CRU
5%
14%
81%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
GLE
4 - 0
INS
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
INS
3 - 2
PSN
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
INS
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
INS
0 - 2
CAR
35%
26%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 1
LAR
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
LAR
3 - 0
LIS
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 2
LAR
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LAR
2 - 4
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
LAR
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |