Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
INS
2 - 2
POR
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
INS
2 - 1
HAR
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
KNO
0 - 1
INS
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
LIM
2 - 2
INS
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 1
LOU
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DER
2 - 2
LAR
56%
21%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
2 - 2
LCE
44%
23%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
KNO
1 - 3
LAR
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
2 - 1
PSN
24%
24%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |