Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
INS
1 - 0
LIM
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
INS
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
INS
1 - 0
BAN
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
INS
3 - 2
TOB
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
INS
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LAR
0 - 0
COA
34%
23%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 0
LAR
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ARD
2 - 1
LAR
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 0
NEW
25%
25%
51%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
3 - 0
LAR
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |