Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
INS
3 - 3
DUN
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
ARD
1 - 4
INS
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
INS
2 - 9
LIN
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
ARC
5 - 3
INS
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 2
INS
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
LAR
2 - 3
LIM
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
DUN
3 - 0
LAR
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
LAR
2 - 3
ARC
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
LAR
0 - 0
CLI
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 0
LAR
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |