Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
LIN
6 - 0
INS
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
INS
3 - 1
GLE
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
COL
4 - 2
INS
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
LAR
0 - 2
LIS
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
CRU
3 - 2
LAR
53%
23%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
LAR
2 - 4
POR
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 5
LAR
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
LAR
0 - 2
COL
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |