Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ARC
0 - 3
INS
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
BAN
0 - 2
INS
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
LIM
1 - 4
INS
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
INS
2 - 4
LIS
49%
24%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
LAR
3 - 1
BAL
66%
19%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
4 - 2
LAR
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
LIM
0 - 1
LAR
49%
23%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
LAR
1 - 0
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
LAR
2 - 1
ARC
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |