Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
ARC
2 - 1
INS
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
LIM
1 - 1
INS
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
BAL
0 - 1
INS
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
INS
3 - 1
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
INS
4 - 4
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
LAR
1 - 1
BAL
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 1
LAR
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
LAR
0 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
BAN
1 - 3
LAR
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
LAR
0 - 1
LIS
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |