Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
ARD
2 - 0
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
INS
3 - 3
ARC
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
LIM
3 - 0
INS
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
INS
1 - 2
LIS
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
BAL
0 - 1
INS
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
LAR
1 - 3
DUN
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
BAN
3 - 2
LAR
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
LAR
3 - 0
CAR
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
LAR
0 - 3
ARD
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
ARC
2 - 2
LAR
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |