Institute vs Knockbreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
9º
28
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 1
INS
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
INS
2 - 0
ARD
31%
24%
46%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 0
INS
62%
20%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 0
INS
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
INS
2 - 0
BAL
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KNO
0 - 3
HAR
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
KNO
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KNO
1 - 4
ARD
32%
23%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KNO
1 - 2
BAL
25%
23%
53%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
DER
2 - 3
KNO
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |