Institute vs Knockbreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 1
INS
65%
19%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
ARD
0 - 1
INS
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
INS
3 - 2
QUB
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
KNO
2 - 3
INS
41%
23%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
KNO
2 - 1
ARD
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 3
KNO
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
KNO
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
KNO
0 - 2
QUB
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
KNO
2 - 3
INS
41%
23%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |