Institute vs Knockbreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
QUB
0 - 1
INS
35%
23%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
INS
2 - 1
ARD
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
INS
4 - 3
PSN
58%
21%
22%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
INS
0 - 1
HAR
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
INS
2 - 1
DUN
39%
24%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
KNO
3 - 2
DER
36%
23%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 0
KNO
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
KNO
1 - 6
LOU
20%
22%
59%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 2
KNO
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
KNO
3 - 1
QUB
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |