Institute vs Knockbreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
INS
3 - 2
BAL
57%
22%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LOU
4 - 4
INS
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
INS
4 - 0
DUN
42%
24%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
INS
2 - 1
LIS
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 1
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
KNO
5 - 4
DUN
46%
22%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 5
KNO
32%
25%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
KNO
4 - 0
LIM
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
KNO
26%
23%
51%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
KNO
4 - 1
DON
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |