Institute vs Kilmore Rectory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12%
3.6%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 3
INS
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
INS
2 - 1
RRF
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LIM
1 - 2
INS
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
INS
1 - 0
DER
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
INS
2 - 0
LOU
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmore Rectory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
TOB
0 - 1
KRF
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
TOB
2 - 2
KRF
86%
10%
5%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
KRF
4 - 3
MFC
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
KRF
0 - 5
DRF
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
DRF
2 - 2
KRF
36%
24%
41%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |