Institute vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LIM
2 - 1
INS
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DUN
4 - 3
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
INS
0 - 5
DER
18%
23%
60%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 2
INS
47%
24%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
INS
2 - 3
LOU
38%
24%
37%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
HAR
3 - 0
AUN
43%
25%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
HAR
4 - 0
BAL
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ARC
3 - 3
HAR
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
HAR
2 - 4
GLE
31%
23%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 1
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |