Institute vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 1
INS
74%
17%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
INS
1 - 0
BAL
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
INS
1 - 3
NEY
28%
25%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
INS
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
INS
2 - 0
KNO
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 0
POR
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ARD
1 - 1
HAR
36%
25%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 3
DER
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NEY
0 - 2
HAR
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HAR
4 - 2
BAL
55%
22%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |