Institute vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DER
4 - 1
INS
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GLE
3 - 0
INS
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
ARD
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
INS
1 - 3
LAR
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
HAR
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 1
POR
23%
22%
55%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 0
ARD
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
ARD
2 - 2
HAR
45%
23%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 3
HAR
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |