Institute vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
61.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
GLE
2 - 2
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
INS
2 - 3
DUN
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
3 - 0
INS
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
INS
0 - 3
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
INS
0 - 1
WAR
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
GLE
2 - 1
WAR
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
GLE
2 - 2
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLE
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 0
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
GLE
3 - 0
LIN
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |