Institute vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
58%
22%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
INS
0 - 0
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
CLI
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
INS
0 - 2
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
INS
2 - 0
BAL
44%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
GLE
2 - 1
COL
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 2
DON
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 3
GLE
30%
26%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LAR
0 - 3
GLE
18%
22%
61%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLE
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |