Institute vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
INS
66%
18%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
ARC
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
OMA
0 - 1
INS
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
INS
0 - 3
LIM
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
38%
26%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 2
GLE
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2005 |
SHE
4 - 1
GLE
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
GLE
1 - 2
SHE
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
CRU
0 - 2
GLE
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |