Institute vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
LOU
2 - 0
INS
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
INS
1 - 1
LAR
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
INS
3 - 3
DUN
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
ARD
1 - 4
INS
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
INS
2 - 9
LIN
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
GLE
0 - 0
CLI
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
GLE
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
GLE
2 - 0
ARC
64%
21%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
GLE
2 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
20%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
LIM
0 - 2
GLE
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |