Institute vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
INS
1 - 3
COL
27%
25%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ARD
3 - 0
INS
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
INS
3 - 3
POR
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
CLI
2 - 0
INS
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
INS
3 - 2
NEW
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
OMA
0 - 2
GLE
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
GLE
3 - 2
LIN
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
GLE
2 - 0
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
ARD
1 - 2
GLE
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
GLE
0 - 1
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |