Institute vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
INS
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 0
INS
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
INS
2 - 0
COL
13%
22%
65%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
GLE
3 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
INS
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 0
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 3
LAR
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
6 - 2
GLE
22%
23%
55%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
GLE
3 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIN
22%
24%
54%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |