Institute vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 0
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
INS
2 - 0
DUN
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
GLE
0 - 1
INS
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 1
INS
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
INS
0 - 1
CLI
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 0
GLE
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 2
NEW
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
GLE
0 - 1
INS
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 0
CLI
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIS
19%
23%
57%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |