Institute vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
INS
4 - 0
BAN
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CRU
4 - 1
INS
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GLE
4 - 2
INS
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
INS
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 1
GLE
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLE
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 0
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 2
GLE
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |