Institute vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 1
INS
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
INS
0 - 0
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LIM
2 - 2
INS
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
DON
0 - 1
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
INS
0 - 1
LAR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
GLE
0 - 1
DON
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
LAR
3 - 4
GLE
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
83%
12%
6%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIS
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
DUN
1 - 4
GLE
72%
18%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |