Institute vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
ARD
2 - 2
INS
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
INS
1 - 1
OMA
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2003 |
COL
2 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
POR
3 - 3
INS
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
LIN
7 - 0
INS
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 4
LAR
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 1
GLE
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
CLI
2 - 0
GLE
46%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
GLE
3 - 2
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
ARD
1 - 0
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |