Institute vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
LIN
2 - 3
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
OMA
3 - 2
INS
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
INS
1 - 5
GLE
30%
27%
44%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
INS
1 - 3
COL
27%
25%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ARD
3 - 0
INS
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
GLE
1 - 3
OMA
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
GLE
2 - 0
GLE
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
GLE
2 - 2
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
GLE
1 - 1
ARD
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
POR
6 - 0
GLE
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |