Institute vs Glebe Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ARD
2 - 0
INS
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
TOB
2 - 0
INS
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
INS
0 - 3
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
BAN
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 1
INS
38%
25%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Glebe Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 2
BAN
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LIM
3 - 2
GLE
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BAN
3 - 0
GLE
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 2
DER
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
GLE
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |