Northern Ireland League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-7
Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
INS
0 - 3
GLE
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
6 - 2
INS
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 2
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
INS
2 - 2
COL
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 1
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
4 - 0
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
GLE
0 - 0
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
6 - 2
INS
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 2
LIN
23%
24%
54%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 8
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |