Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
NEW
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
INS
2 - 2
CRU
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
INS
0 - 2
CLI
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 2
INS
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIS
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLE
24%
24%
51%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
CLI
1 - 1
DUN
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 2
NEW
48%
24%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |