Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
GLE
0 - 1
INS
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 1
INS
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
INS
0 - 1
CLI
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LIS
5 - 2
INS
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 2
BAN
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 2
GLE
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
DUN
2 - 2
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
CLI
2 - 2
DUN
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIS
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |